Abstract

The Polokwane declaration on waste management is to stabilize waste generation and reduce the waste disposal by 50% by 2012 and develop a zero plan for zero waste by 2022 waste generation is an ongoing process which will continue, as long as humans exist. The types and quantity of waste generated in South Africa have however, changed over time often leading to constraints in municipal waste management budgets as this may not have been expected at the time of planning or budgeting. The technological advancement, emergency of affluent communities and rapid urbanization have contributed to the significant increase in waste generation per capita. At times the projected resources for waste management have proven inadequate resulting in poor service delivery by municipalities. This work seeks to make an estimate projection of the future waste quantities and generation rate to present an opportunity to make appropriate financial allocations for future waste management systems. The work demonstrates that at varying recycling rate (> zero) waste reaching the disposal site reduces gradually. The proposed model reflects that with appropriate policies in place, accurate waste management planning and resource allocation can be achieved.

Key words: Waste disposal, communities, projections, waste management systems, budgets, technology advancement.

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