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Patterns of agricultural
growth and overall growth of the Ugandan economy
Niringiye Aggrey
Department
of Economic Policy and Planning Faculty of Economics and
Management, Makerere University, P. O. Box 7062 Uganda.
E-mail:
aggrey1970@yahoo.com. Tel: +256 712224545.
Accepted 30 September, 2009 |
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This study aimed at establishing simple stylized facts on
relationships between the share of agriculture and its
subsectors in GDP and GDP per capita in Uganda. The study
utilized both trend and regression analysis tools to achieve
the study objective. Previous studies give evidence on what
has come to be a stylized fact , that the share of
agriculture in GPD falls as the GDP per capita of an economy
increases. Our findings by both the trend and regression
analysis confirm this stylized fact. However, when
agriculture is disaggregated, the pattern that emerges is
not consistent with previous studies. Whereas, the overall
agriculture and the subsectors of agriculture such as food
crops, livestock and forestry share in GDP falls as GDP per
capita rises the fishing sector share in GDP does not
exhibit a significant relationship with per capita income.
The findings also show that whereas the share of
non-monetary agriculture, non-monetary food crops, non-and
monetary livestock share in GDP exhibit a negative
relationship with GDP per capita income, the share in GDP of
monetary agriculture, monetary food crops, cash crops,
monetary and non monetary forestry and fishing exhibit no
significant relationship with GDP per capita.
Key
words:
Performance, Ugandan economy GDP, per capita, agriculture
sector. |
